I am undecided on how the Biden-Ryan debate will unfold. I do not hew to the line that Biden is a doddering old fool who will be destroyed by Darth Ryan. For one thing, Biden, despite, or in fact because of, his gaffe-prone nature, nonetheless comes off as a likable fellow. It's hard to hate on Old Joe. In between his Tourette's outbursts he is amiable and engaging. And always upbeat. Perhaps misguided politically, but a good guy. He might show up for Christmas dinner with his pants on backwards, but he'll have presents for the kids.
Ryan is to me the far superior intellect. But he is wonkish by nature. A Powerpoint numbers guy. Tossing off a glib one-liner and flashing a great smile is not in his nature. And he will come into this debate fully cognizant of those shortcomings, and will strive mightily to overcome them, but he might still come off as Ming the Merciless. Beating up on poor Uncle Joe. That don't play in Peoria. Biden has a natural affinity edge here. Hell, I'll go drink a beer with Joe Biden anytime. He's a stand-up American.
Here's where I have trouble handicapping this thing: The Obama campaign was bitterly stung last week, and the Benadryl hasn't much reduced the swelling. They want a quick turnaround, and I have the sickening feeling they are pressuring Biden to deliver it. To make up for Obama's failure. I believe they will force Joe to come out swinging, to go for the jugular with every turn. Biden isn't bad at that occasionally, but I think there is going to be so much pressure on him to hit a homer with every response that he will be far outside his comfort zone. We are liable to see a campaign-orchestrated effort to force Biden so far off his game he goes full-blown retard. And it won't be his fault.
Biden, like everyone else, has strengths and weaknesses. But my gut tells me he is going to be forced into single combat as an assault weapon, with the sole intention of atoning for Obama, rather than playing to his strengths. If so, it will be a double-down disaster.
If they let Joe play his game, I think this will be a pretty close debate. But I fear they have already been feeding him gunpowder in his oatmeal, and Ecstasy in his nightcap. Poor Joe.
Posted by Velociman at October 8, 2012 8:45 PM